Mc Donalds (MCD) - Bought Shares and Sold Calls and Puts

March 5th, 2010

MCD has been on my Watchlist for quite a while - since the $54 days of last April.

I’ve been invested in riskier stocks during this time and have now decided to switch my strategy to a more conservative one.

Therefore, today, I bought 200 MCD shares at $63.40 each.

I also sold 2 MCD JUN10 65 Call Options at $1.51 each and 2 MCD JUN10 65 Put Options at $3.41 each. After commissions, I took in a total of $980 in Premium.

This means that my total outlay today was ($63.40 * 200) - $980 = $11,700

If MCD closes above $65 on Jun 18th, I will be forced to sell my shares at $65 each (a total of $13,000). I will also have collected $110 in dividends.

Therefore, my profit would be $13,110 - $11,700 = $1,410 (or 12% of initial outlay in 3.5 months for shares that would need to rise by 2.5%)

If MCD closes below $65 on Jun 18th, I will be forced to buy another 200 shares at $65 each (a total of $13,000). I will also have collected $110 in dividends for my current shares. My basis per share would be ($11,700 + $13,000 - $110)/400 = $61.47 (or 3% below today’s price).

Obviously, the best case scenario for me would be if MCD closed at $65 exactly. This would allow me to re-write the Options for a future expiry date.

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Telular Corporation (WRLS) - Small Cap stock with Huge Potential

February 24th, 2010

Having done a lot of research on Telular Corporation, I placed my first order of 2,000 shares today and intend to place an additional order for 1,000 shares for each 5% drop in the price of the underlying stock. My current basis per share is $4.59.

Based upon my interpretation of the annual report, the latest quarterly report, the investor presentation and the latest quarterly conference call (all of which are available in the Investor Section of their website), I believe the company should easily be a double by the end of 2011 - and continue to grow signigicantly from there.

The companies Telguard segment is growing rapidly and product sales surpassed expectations - resulting in the company announcing increased expectations of 30,000 - 40,000 unit sales per quarter (I believe that even the increased expectation is quite conservative) for the rest of 2010. I can easily see the company hitting the 1,000,000 subscriber milestone by the end of 2011. This will result in a much higher proportion of revenue coming from recurring service revenue as opposed to product sale revenue. With a Gross Margin of 60% for service revenue versus a Gross Margin of 21% for product revenue, this change in revenue source will result in significantly higher overall Gross Margins for the company. The Gross Margin currently stands at 40%.

Regarding the Tanklink segment of their operations, they seem to have focused on merging this segment into their company during 2009 and are now in a good position to focus on growing this segment significantly. The Tanklink system is also based on recurring, high-margin revenue after the initial sale of the lower-margin equipment which is a huge positive. I also see alot of potential growth in this area but am of the opinion that the significant growth won’t materialize until next year and beyond.

The third segment of their business is the Terminal segment. However, personally, I didn’t factor this in when I decided to invest in the company - I view it mainly as a ‘bonus’ additional stream of revenue but it’s the recurring revenue that I like about Telular and this isn’t obtained via the Terminal segment.

As per the annual and quarterly reports, Telular sold 21k, 25k, 31k and 38k Telguard units during the last 4 quarters. If this trend were to continue, the company will have no problem exceeding their current guideling of 30k - 40k units per quarter over the next three quarters and also will have no problem exceeding 1,000,000 Telguard subcribers by the end of next year. This, together with the growth in their Tanklink segment should easily result in an increase in the stock price to close to, or above, $10 per share.

Other positives about the company include the fact that it repurchased alot of it’s shares last year at sub $2 prices, it has over $20 million in cash (about 30% of it’s market cap) and has no debt.

Personally, I view this as a long-term, core holding of my portfolio and am going to add more shares on any dips.

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Sold 2 NYX Feb10 24 Naked Puts - NYSE

January 21st, 2010

 Today, whilst NYX was trading at $24.70, I sold 2 NYX Feb10 24 Naked Puts at $0.53 each and received $104.60 in Premium after commissions. If assigned, my basis per share will be just $23.48 and I’ll be receiving a dividend yield of over 5.1% on my basis.

I’ve also taken in Premium for NYX on a number of occassions in the past - the most recent Options expired out-of-the-money just last week.

The markets taken a sizeable drop over the past two days and my account balance has taken a big hit. However, a pullback is always to be expected and is healthy for the market in the long run. I’m hoping that we hit support shortly and start moving up again over the next couple of weeks. For now, I’m sitting tight and will probably not sell any additional Put Options for February expiry as I don’t want to over extend myself.

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January 2010 Options Expiring Today

January 15th, 2010

The following is a list of Options positions that I currently have open and their status. This doesn’t include some Options that I have already closed and taken profits on (I’ve written about these in previous posts).

AEM JAN2010 55 Naked Put - received $300 in Premium. This will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

AEM JAN2010 60 Covered Call - received $85 in Premium. This will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

2 BAC JAN2010 15 Naked Puts - received $100.60  in Premium. These will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

FWLT JAN2010 27 Naked Put - received $79 in Premium. This will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

2 JCI JAN2010 30 Covered Calls - received $338.60 in Premium. This will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

3 NYX JAN2010 24 Naked Puts - received $225.90 in Premium. These will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

2 ORCL JAN2010 17.50 Naked Puts - received $738.60 in Premium. These will expire worthless and I can keep the Premium

 

As you can probably guess, I sold the JCI and ORCL Options ages ago - the ORCL Put Options were actually slightly in the money when I sold them too. Overall, it’s been a very good month with regards to my Options trades. Let’s hope February brings similar results.

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Sold 2 Verizon Communications (VZ) 30 FEB10 Naked Puts

January 15th, 2010

Today, whilst VZ was trading at $30.54, I sold 2 Verizon Communications (VZ) 30 FEB10 Naked Puts at $0.56 each and received $110.60 in Premium after commissions.

The stock has dropped over 2% today - from a combination of the general market fall and the fact that they announced changes in their price plans. However, personally, I think the changes will be good for VZ and, although standard non-data users will pay less, the reduction will be more than compensated for by more revenue from the users that use alot of bandwidth. It should also allow VZ to take some more market share.

If the shares are assigned to me, my basis per share will be $29.45 and the dividend yield on my basis will be a massive 6.45%.

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Sold 2 PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro) 42 FEB10 Naked Puts

January 15th, 2010

Yesterday, whilst PBR was trading at $45.10, I sold 2 PBR 42 FEB10 Naked Puts at $0.71 and received $140.60 in Premiums after commissions. If assigned, my basis per share will be $41.30. PBR hasn’t traded this low since early September 2009 and I don’t believe these Options will be assigned.

I have held PBR shares in the past and have sold a number of PBR Options. However, until yesterday, the last time I had an open interest in PBR was last June when a PBR 30 JUN09  Naked Put that I sold at $154 expired out-of-the-money.

I have always had PBR on my watchlist and decided to use the drop over the past week as an opportunity to get back in.

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Rolled XOM (Exxon Mobil) 70 JAN10 Naked Put out to February Expiry

January 14th, 2010

Having sold an XOM 70 FEB10 Naked Put yesterday at $2.06 and received $205 in Premium after commissions, I decided to close my XOM 70 JAN10 Naked Put today. It looks like the shares are going to close below $70 tomorrow - in particular due to the number of open Call Options at that strike - although I wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock pop by a point or two on Monday after the January Options have expired.

Today, whilst XOM was trading at $69.71, I bought-to-close my XOM 70 JAN10 Naked Put at $0.49 and paid $50 after commissions. This equates to a profit on this particular Option of $150.

Also, the rolling of the Option to February expiry results in a $155 net credit to my account. The stock has quite alot of support around the $68 - $70 mark and I don’t think they will drop below this before February expiry. If they do close below $70 and I don’t adjust my position, my basis per share (after taking into account the January profits and February Premium) will be $66.95 which is quite good and would result in a 2.5% dividend on my basis.

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Sold 3 SKX (Skechers) 30 FEB10 Covered Calls

January 13th, 2010

As I discussed in a post two weeks ago, I have already sold 2 SKX 30 FEB10 Naked Puts - for which I have received a total of $588.60 in Premium.

At that point, I was hoping to sell 3 SKX 30 FEB10 Covered Calls (I already own 300 SKX shares). I was originally aiming for about $2.05 per Call Option in Premium.

Today, whilst SKX was trading at $30.29, I sold 3 SKX 30 FEB10 Covered Calls for $1.93 each and received $579 in Premium after commissions. I settled for a smaller Premium than I’d originally hoped for because some time value has eroded since my last post. Unfortunately, this turned out to be a bad decision because SKX continued to soar and the Options traded as high as $2.40 - which would have meant an extra $141 in Premium for me.

As it stands, I will get $30 per share for SKX if they close above $30 at February expiry and my Call Options are excercised. However, I will also have the $1,167.60 in Premium - or $3.89 per share. If SKX close below $30, my short Put Options will be assigned and I will be forced to buy 200 shares at $30. However, the cost would be reduced by $5.83 per share for each of the 200 shares due to the $1,167.60 in Options Premium received.

Not including profit on Options trades, my basis per share for SKX is currently $11.15. Therefore, I’m not really too concerned about being forced to sell at $33.89 per share (including February Premiums received) and, likewise, I would be very willing to buy more at a net-cost of $24.17 per share (after deducting February Premiums received).

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Sold Short an AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines) FEB10 Options Strangle

January 13th, 2010

I am currently short an AEM JAN10 Options Strangle. The strike price of the Put Option is $55 and the strike price of the Call Option is $60.

Yesterday, whilst AEM was trading at a little under $58, I decided that this short Options Strangle will most likely expire out-of-the-money and that I’d take the risk of going short another Strangle using the same strike prices and a February expiry.

I then sold 1 AEM FEB10 60 Call Option at $2.32 and 1 AEM FEB10 55 Put Option at $2.10 and received $440 in  Premium after commissions.

I like this trade because I’m willing to sell my 100 AEM shares at $60 (or $64.40 including the Options Premiums) whilst, at the same time, I’m also willing to buy an additional 100 shares at a net cost of $50.60 ($55 less the $4.40 per share in Option premium received).

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Sold 1 RIMM FEB10 70 Covered Call - Research in Motion

January 9th, 2010

Yesterday, whilst RIMM was trading at $65.66, I sold a FEB10 70 Covered Call at $1.46 and received $1.45 in Premium after commissions.

I don’t understand why RIMM is so low given their recent results and their plans to expand into China. However, as a wise man once said, “the markets can stay rational longer than you can stay solvent”. Therefore, I decided upon this trade to reduce my basis on RIMM a little further.

After yesterdays $1.45 per share Premium, my basis per share is $54.64. With this basis, I’ll be happy enough if the shares are called away from me at $70 (I’ll take a profit of 28%+ for a few months holding period any day) - although I’d consider adjusting the position to allow me to continue to hold RIMM.

On a side note, I also had an order in to sell a RIMM FEB10 60 Naked Put at $1.16 but the order didn’t hit - it came within a cent. I will keep an eye on RIMM’s stock price and will probably sell the same Option (for a higher Premium) if RIMM drops over the next week.

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